运筹与管理 ›› 2021, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 204-208.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2021.0029

• 应用研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于风险补偿模型的耐用设备占线租赁策略研究

刘斌1, 吴帆1, 辛春林1,2   

  1. 1.北京化工大学 经济管理学院,北京 100029;
    2.北京化工大学 运营管理与战略决策研究中心,北京 100029
  • 收稿日期:2015-04-08 出版日期:2021-01-25
  • 通讯作者: 辛春林(1971-),男 ,江西宜春人,教授,研究方向:占线算法和系统优化。
  • 作者简介:刘斌(1971-),男,湖南双峰人,教授,研究方向:占线算法和技术创新。吴凡,女,山西代县人,硕士研究生。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(70971008);家社科基金项目(13BGL065)

Strategies of Durable Equipment on-line Leasing Problem Based on Risk-reward Models

LIU Bin1, WU Fan1, XIN Chun-lin1,2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China;
    2. Research Center for Operations Management and Strategy Decision, Beijing 100029, China
  • Received:2015-04-08 Online:2021-01-25

摘要: 传统的占线优化理论没有考虑到风险因素,其本质是一种无风险策略,具有一定的局限性,然而在现实中更多的人愿意利用风险来获得额外收益。基于此,本文结合交易费用与现实租赁市场中二手市场存在的情形,研究了耐用设备占线租赁的风险回报模型。风险回报模型是对最优确定性策略的拓展,且概率型预期风险回报模型是对确定型预期风险回报模型的拓展。通过数据分析表明风险回报模型能够有效地提高策略性能,从而使决策者可以根据自己的风险容忍度和预期选择最优的租赁策略。

关键词: 耐用设备, 交易费用, 占线租赁, 竞争分析, 风险回报策略

Abstract: The optimaldeterministic strategy from traditional online algorithm and competitive analysis theory is a risk-free strategy, but it has certain limitations. However, in reality many people are willing to increase their risk for some extra income. In this paper, we investigate risk-reward models of durable equipment on-line leasing problem by combing transaction cost and the fact that there exists a secondary market. Risk-reward models are an expansion to the optimal deterministic strategy, and the risk-reward strategy based on probabilistic forecast is also an expansion to the risk-reward strategy based on certain forecast. Numerical analysis shows that theperformance of the risk-reward strategy can be significantlyimproved, thusaccording to their risk tolerance and prediction, the optimal leasing strategy can be selected.

Key words: durable equipment, on-line leasing problem, transaction cost, competitive ratio, risk-reward models

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