运筹与管理 ›› 2013, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (5): 196-202.

• 应用研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于2-可加模糊测度的NPD项目复杂性评价

张延禄, 杨乃定   

  1. 西北工业大学 管理学院,陕西 西安 710072
  • 收稿日期:2012-09-01 出版日期:2013-10-25
  • 作者简介:张延禄(1984-),男,山东潍坊人,博士研究生,研究方向:项目管理、管理优化与决策等;杨乃定(1964-),男,陕西户县人,教授、博士生导师,研究方向:管理系统工程、项目管理、风险管理等。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70972126);高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助项目(20106102110042)

NPD Project Complexity Evaluation Based on 2-order Additive Fuzzy Measures Method

ZHANG Yan-lu, YANG Nai-ding   

  1. School of Management, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an 710072, China
  • Received:2012-09-01 Online:2013-10-25

摘要: 针对NPD项目复杂性各因素间具有的关联性以及传统评价方法的局限性,提出一种基于关联多属性的2-可加模糊测度方法来对NPD项目复杂性进行评价。在界定项目复杂性内涵的基础上,从产品复杂性、环境复杂性、组织复杂性和技术复杂性四个方面构建了NPD项目复杂性评价指标体系。从模糊测度、默比乌斯变换和交互作用系数间的转化关系出发,基于最大Marichal熵原则,提出了一种确定2-可加模糊测度值的新方法。利用Choquet积分作为集结算子,自下而上计算各候选方案的综合评价值。最后,通过具体算例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。

关键词: 复杂性评价, 关联多属性, 2-可加模糊测度, Choquet积分, NPD项目

Abstract: With respect to the interaction among some complexity indexes of NPD project and the limitation of traditional evaluation methods, the 2-order additive fuzzy measures method based on multi-attribute with interaction is proposed to evaluate the complexity level of NPD project. After defining the concept of project complexity based on the two main viewpoints of ontology and epistemology, the paper establishes the complexity evaluation index system of NPD project, which is composed of product complexity, environment complexity, organization complexity and technology complexity. By introducing the transformation relationships among the fuzzy measures, mobius representation and interaction index, a new method for identifying the 2-order additive fuzzy measures is proposed on the principle of maximum Marichal entropy. Then the paper presents the Choquet integral as an aggregation operator to calculate the synthetical values of the alternatives from bottom to top. Finally, an example is given to demonstrate the feasibility and validity of the proposed method, which will reduce the difficulty in making decision for experts to some extent and have a relatively strong practicability.

Key words: complexity evaluation, multiple attributes with interaction, 2-order additive fuzzy measures, Choquet integral, NPD project

中图分类号: