FMEA方法改进及其在技术创新风险管理中的应用

doi:10.12005/orms.2015.0148

运筹与管理 ›› 2015, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (4): 264-271.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2015.0148

FMEA方法改进及其在技术创新风险管理中的应用

罗小芳¹, 李柏洲², 白旭³

1.江苏科技大学经济管理学院,江苏镇江 212003;
2.哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150001;
3.江苏科技大学船舶与海洋工程学院,江苏镇江 212003

收稿日期:2013-03-04 出版日期:2015-08-12
作者简介:罗小芳(1987-),女,湖南浏阳人,博士,研究方向为科技管理与创新管理;李柏洲(1964-),男,辽宁彰武人,教授,博士,博士生导师,研究方向为科技管理与创新管理;白旭(1984-),男,江苏徐州人,博士,研究方向为船舶与海洋工程风险评估及管理。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目(51409128,71402065);国家社科基金重点项目(14AGL001);江苏省高校自然科学研究项目(14KJB57001);江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目(2014SJB818);镇江市软科学项目(RK2014034);国家自然科学基金资助项目(71073034);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(HEUCF130909)

Improvements of FMEA Method and Its Applications to the Risk Management of Technology Innovation

LUO Xiao-fang¹, LI Bai-zhou², BAI Xu³

1.School of Economics and Management, Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang 212003, China;
2.School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China;
3.School of Naval Architecture & Ocean Engineering, Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang 212003, China

Received:2013-03-04 Online:2015-08-12

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 在资源有限的情况下,企业技术创新风险管理的关键是主要风险的识别和防范。首先,基于合理的猜想,从优化结果角度,提出了基于可靠指标矢量-概率网格估算法的改进的FMEA方法,即在传统FMEA方法基础上,基于失效模式相关性进行失效模式替代,得出技术创新过程中的主要失效模式。其次,将改进的FMEA方法应用于一个技术创新风险管理案例,并与传统方法进行比较分析,分析结果表明:改进的FMEA方法用于风险管理不仅能节省企业资源,还能提高企业技术创新风险管理效率,是企业有效的技术创新风险管理定量分析工具。

关键词: 创新风险管理, FMEA, 可靠指标矢量, 概率网格法

Abstract: Because of limited resources, the identification and protection of main risk is the key to risk management of enterprise technology innovation. Firstly, based on reasonable guesses and from the results optimization, we put forward an improved FMEA method based on reliable index vector-probability grid estimation, that is, failure modes are substituted in terms of their correlations, and then find out the main failure modes. Moreover, the improved FMEA method is applied to a risk management case of technology innovation, and the obtained results are compared with the traditional FMEA method. We conclude that our improved FMEA method used for risk management can not only save resources of enterprise, but also improve the efficiency of risk management. It is an effectively quantitative tool for risk management of enterprise technology innovation.

Key words: innovation risk control, FMEA, reliable index vector, probability grid method;

中图分类号:

F224.9

罗小芳, 李柏洲, 白旭. FMEA方法改进及其在技术创新风险管理中的应用[J]. 运筹与管理, 2015, 24(4): 264-271.

LUO Xiao-fang, LI Bai-zhou, BAI Xu. Improvements of FMEA Method and Its Applications to the Risk Management of Technology Innovation[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2015, 24(4): 264-271.

参考文献

[1] Carl L P. Risk management[M]. Arlington, Virginia, USA: ESI International, 1999. 215-217
[2] 吴涛.技术创新风险管理的方法与策略[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2000,21(5):45-47.
[3] 周寄中,薛刚.技术创新风险管理的分类与识别[J].科学学研究,2002,20(2):221-224.
[4] 陈勇飞.FMEA简介[J].机械工程师,2002,(1):31-35.
[5] 奚立峰,徐刚.FMEA在过程管理中的应用[J].工业工程与管理,2002,(1):37-39.
[6] Stamatis D H.故障模式影响分析:FMEA从理论到实践[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2005:23,171-226.
[7] Ben D M, Raouf A. A revised failure mode and effects analysis model[J]. Quality Reliability Managmet, 1993, 3(1): 43-47.
[8] Gilchrist W. Modeling failure modes and effects analysis[J]. Quality Reliability Management, 1993, 10(5): 16-23.
[9] Xu K, Tang L C, Xie M, et al. Fuzzy assessment of FMEA for engine systems[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2002, (75): 17-29.
[10] Keller A Z, Kara Z C. Further application of fuzzy logic to reliability assessment and safety analysis[J]. Microelectron Reliab, 1981, (29): 399-404.
[11] Bell D, Cox L, Jackson S, et al. Using causal reasoning for automated failure and effects analysis(FMEA)[C]. Proceedings of Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium,1992. 343-353.
[12] Bowles L, Pelaez K. Fuzzy logic prioritization of failures in a system failure modes, effects and criticality analysis[J]. Reliability Engineering System Safety, 1995, (50): 203-213.
[13] Chang C L, Wei C C, Lee Y H. Failure mode and effects analysis using fuzzy method and grey theory[J]. Kybernetes, 1999, 28(9): 1072-1080.
[14] Anand P, Jin W. Modified failure mode and effects analysis using approximate reasoning[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2003, (79): 69-85.
[15] Antonio C F, Guimaraes H, Celso M F L. Effects analysis fuzzy inference system in nuclear problems using approximate reasoning[J]. Annals of Nuclear Energy, 2004, (31): 107-115.
[16] 王立新,李勇,任荣明.基于灰色多层次方法的企业技术创新风险评估研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2006,(7):98-104.
[17] 贡金鑫.仲伟秋.赵国藩,结构可靠指标的通用计算方法[J].计算力学学报,2003,20(1)12-18.
[18] 孙海.结构体系抗震可靠度的优化与控制研究[D].哈尔滨工程大学博士学位论文,2009.
[19] 侯钢领,欧进萍.结构可靠指标矢量及其计算与应用[J].计算力学学报,2002,(2):143-147.
[20] 段宇博.高层建筑结构的可靠度分析与优化设计[D].哈尔滨建筑大学博士学位论文,1994.
[21] 邵光信,亚海斌,朱绳武.基于GA和PNET的一种可靠度计算新方法[J].金属矿山,2002,(8):51-53.
[22] 陈劲,景劲松,童亮.复杂产品系统创新项目风险因素实证研究[J].研究与发展管理,2005,17(6)62-69.

FMEA方法改进及其在技术创新风险管理中的应用

Improvements of FMEA Method and Its Applications to the Risk Management of Technology Innovation

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 2

编辑推荐

Metrics

[1]	张永政, 叶春明, 耿秀丽. 基于概率语言术语集的服务外包风险评估方法[J]. 运筹与管理, 2021, 30(9): 203-209.
[2]	张孟飞, 王铁旦, 彭定洪, 任子瑞. 基于犹豫模糊偏好关系FMEA方法的改进[J]. 运筹与管理, 2021, 30(5): 73-78.