运筹与管理 ›› 2018, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (10): 11-16.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2018.0224

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑关键交通路段失效情景的中央储备库选址评估

张敏1, 黄钧2   

  1. 1.北京建筑大学机械与车辆工程学院,北京 100044;
    2.中国科学院大学应急管理研究中心,北京 1000491
  • 收稿日期:2016-11-18 出版日期:2018-10-25
  • 作者简介:张敏(1978.9-),女,山西大同人,讲师,博士,研究方向:应急管理;黄钧,教授,研究方向:应急管理、数学建模与应用、最优化方法。
  • 基金资助:
    北京建筑大学博士基金(00331614030);北京建筑大学城市轨道交通车辆服役性能保障北京市重点实验室;京津冀一体化背景下的绿色供应链评估研究(H17178)

Evaluation of National Storehouse Location with Failure Scenariosof Key Traffic Road

ZHANG Min1, HUANG Jun2   

  1. 1.School of Mechanical-electronic and Automobile Engineering, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing 100044,China;
    2.Emergency Management Research Center, University of Chinese Academic Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Received:2016-11-18 Online:2018-10-25

摘要: 我国中央储备库在应急管理中具有重要保障作用,针对现有中央储备库在应急资源保障过程中暴露出来的问题,研究了基于失效情景下的新增中央储备库选址合理性评估问题。首先进行情景分析,定义关键交通路段失效情景;其次基于失效情景设计了多级覆盖半径下的设施选址评估指标体系;最后,由于应急设施选址评估具有多影响因素特征,涉及输入和输出多个指标的测度,选取处理多输入多输出问题具有优势的评估方法—数据包络法。对新增中央储备库的不同建议选址方案,使用设计的失效情景评估指标体系进行选址合理性评估,验证了上述方法的有效性。

关键词: 选址, 中央储备库, 失效情景, 评估指标体系

Abstract: The important security effect of national storehouse of our country for the emergency material is considered for the problem of emergency resource location. Failure scenarios of key traffic road are defined. The system of evaluation indices is established. The location rationality evaluation of the additional central reserve storehouse is studied in the failure scenario of partial key traffic path against the problem of the present central reserve storehouse in the emergency security. The measure of more indices of input and output is involved in the central reserve storehouse. The data envelope analysis is the predominant method to evaluate the problem of multiple inputs and outputs system. Data envelope analysis and the previous system of evaluation indices are used to evaluate the rationality of the different suggested location program of the additional central reserve storehouse. The validity of the previous method is proved.

Key words: location, central reserve storehouse, failure scenarios, system of evaluation indices

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