化工园区应急设施区间规划选址模型研究

doi:10.12005/orms.2020.0120

运筹与管理 ›› 2020, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (5): 67-73.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2020.0120

化工园区应急设施区间规划选址模型研究

郭换换¹, 王飞跃¹, 裴甲坤², 杨宸宇¹

1.中南大学铁道学院防灾科学与安全技术研究所,湖南长沙 410075;
2.济宁市安全生产技术服务中心,山东济宁 272000

收稿日期:2018-12-18 出版日期:2020-05-25
作者简介:郭换换(1996-),女,河南周口市人,硕士研究生,研究方向:应急资源优化配置;王飞跃(1977-),男,重庆人,副教授,硕士生导师,博士,研究方向:城市公共安全应急管理;裴甲坤 (1992-),男,山东临沂人,硕士研究生,研究方向:化工安全评估及化工事故多米诺效应;杨宸宇(1995-),男,云南腾冲人,硕士研究生,研究方向:应急疏散。
基金资助:
湖南省安全生产专项资金项目(201720)

Study of Site Selection Model for Interval Programming of Emergency Facilities in Chemical Industry Park

GUO Huan-huan¹, WANG Fei-yue¹, PEI Jia-kun², YANG Chen-yu¹

1. Institute of Disaster Prevention Science and Safety Technology, Railway Campus, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China;
2. Jining Work Safety Technology Service Center, 410075 Jining, China

Received:2018-12-18 Online:2020-05-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 应急设施选址受应急物资需求量的影响。为优化应急设施选址布局,提高突发事件应急处置能力,以化工园区突发事件为研究背景,对化工园区突发事故下应急设施选址进行研究。考虑到化工园区突发事件的随机性和复杂性、突发事件应急物资需求的不确定性等特点,以应急设施选址安全性最大、经济性和服务效益最好为目标,基于传统确定性应急设施选址模型,构建了不确定需求条件下化工园区应急设施选址区间规划数学模型。模型中应急物资需求量是一个区间值,通过引入区间规划理论和模糊理论对模型进行求解,不仅避免了不确定参数随机概率分布的波动率,而且也降低了模型求解过程中的不确定性。最后,以园区各企业潜在事故为工程背景进行实例分析,得到园区应急设施的布局方案。结果表明,模型的求解效果较好,可为园区应急设施选址决策提供参考依据。

关键词: 设施选址, 区间规划, 模糊理论, 化工园区

Abstract: The location of emergency facilities is affected by the demand for emergency materials. To optimize the location layout of emergency facilities and improve emergency response capabilities, the emergency response of chemical industry park is studied in this paper. Considering the randomness and complexity of emergency incidents in chemical industry park, and the uncertainty of emergency demand, a mathematical model for interval programming of emergency facility location in chemical industry park is established on the basis of the traditional deterministic emergency facility location. The model aims to maximize the safety, minimize the cost and optimize service efficiency of emergency facility location in the same time, and it assumes that the demand for emergency materials is an interval value. Then, the model is solved by introducing the interval programming theory and the fuzzy theory, which not only avoids the volatility of the random probability distribution of the uncertain parameters, but also reduces the uncertainty in the model solution. Finally, a case analysis is carried out based on the potential accidents of various enterprises in the park. And the reasonable layout plan of the emergency facilities in the park is obtained. The result shows that the model works well for the solution and provides a reference for the decision-making of the emergency facilities in the park.

Key words: emergency facility location, interval programming, fuzzy theory, chemical industry park

中图分类号:

X937

郭换换, 王飞跃, 裴甲坤, 杨宸宇. 化工园区应急设施区间规划选址模型研究[J]. 运筹与管理, 2020, 29(5): 67-73.

GUO Huan-huan, WANG Fei-yue, PEI Jia-kun, YANG Chen-yu. Study of Site Selection Model for Interval Programming of Emergency Facilities in Chemical Industry Park[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2020, 29(5): 67-73.

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化工园区应急设施区间规划选址模型研究

Study of Site Selection Model for Interval Programming of Emergency Facilities in Chemical Industry Park

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