运筹与管理 ›› 2020, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (4): 21-29.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2020.0086

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于成本效益分析的救护车多时段布局优化研究

蒋清宸1, 苏强1, 祝延宏2, 王秋根2   

  1. 1.同济大学 经济与管理学院,上海 200092;
    2.上海市第一人民医院,上海 200080
  • 收稿日期:2018-09-26 出版日期:2020-04-25
  • 作者简介:蒋清宸(1995-),女,硕士研究生。研究方向:运营管理。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71432007)

Study on Optimization of Multi-period Ambulances Location Based on cost-effective analysis

JIANG Qing-chen, SU Qiang, ZHU Yan-hong, WNAG Qiu-gen   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China;
    2. Shanghai First People's Hospital, Shanghai 200080, China
  • Received:2018-09-26 Online:2020-04-25

摘要: 院前急救服务水平和救护资源之间存在悖反效益,本文综合考虑急救服务效果与急救网络成本,应用延误成本刻画急救效果,运营成本刻画急救资源使用,同时考虑需求规模、需求空间分布、救护车行驶速度以及救护车不可获得率随时间变化的影响,建立以最小化社会总成本为目标的救护车多时段布局优化模型,应用上海市松江区的实际数据,系统研究多时段救护车布局优化问题。计算结果表明优化后的系统在保证80%的高标准覆盖水平下,社会总成本比原系统下降32.23%。相比静态的情况,考虑时变因素可以使社会总成本下降15.8%,双覆盖率提高12.84%,各时段车辆繁忙率方差下降91.67%。

关键词: 院前急救, 成本效益, 多时段, 救护车布局

Abstract: There is a trade-off between emergency medical service level and resources. This paper takes emergency effect and cost into consideration,apply delay cost to describe emergency effect, and apply operational cost to describe emergency resources. At the same time, time-dependent demand, travel time and ambulance unavailability rate are taken into consideration. We establish an optimal model of multi-period ambulance location problem to minimize total social cost. Based on data from Songjiang district of Shanghai, the optimization results show that the total social cost of the optimized system is 32.23% lower than the original system under the high standard coverage of 80%. Compared with the static situation, the total cost decreases by 15.8%, the double coverage rate increases by 12.84%, and the variance of the vehicle's busy fraction in each periods decreases by 91.67%.

Key words: emergency medical service, cost-effective, multiple period, ambulance location

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