养老保险与经济增长关系的研究——以内蒙古自治区为例

doi:10.12005/orms.2020.0136

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 虽然我国经济在稳定发展,但是人口老龄化问题也在不断的加剧,如何处理好养老保险和经济发展之间的关系就显得尤为重要。利用内蒙古自治区2002到2016年的相关数据,构建VAR模型,运用方差分解和脉冲响应对二者之间的关系进行深入分析,为我国应对老龄化问题提供理论参考,能够切实解决老人的养老问题。结果表明:养老保险和经济增长二者之间相互影响且持续时间较长,但养老保险的参保人数、收入和支出与就经济增长相互之间的影响程度不同,经济增长对于参保人数的影响要大于参保人数对经济增长的影响,而养老保险的收入与支出对经济增长的影响则更大。

关键词: 养老保险, 养老保险收入, 养老保险支出, 经济增长, VAR模型

Abstract: Although China's economy is developing steadily, the problem of population aging is also getting worse. How to deal with the relationship between endowment insurance and economic development is particularly important. Using the relevant data of Inner Mongolia autonomous region from 2002 to 2016, VAR model is built, and the relationship between them is analyzed in depth by using variance decomposition and impulse response, which provides theoretical reference for China to cope with the aging problem and could effectively solve the old-age care problem of the elderly. The results show that the endowment insurance and economic growth between the two influence each other and will do so in a long time, but the endowment insurance, the ginseng of income and expenditure and economic growth are the influence degree of the difference between each other.Contributors in economic growth for the influence of the contributors is greater than the impact on the economic growth, and the endowment insurance of the influence of income and expenditure on economic growth is even larger.

Key words: endowment insurance, income from endowment insurance, endowment insurance expenditure, economic growth, VAR model

中图分类号:

C913.7

郝英. 养老保险与经济增长关系的研究——以内蒙古自治区为例[J]. 运筹与管理, 2020, 29(5): 218-226.

HAO Ying. Study on the Relationship between Endowment Ensurance and Economic Growth ——Taking Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region as an Example[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2020, 29(5): 218-226.

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