运筹与管理 ›› 2024, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (1): 95-101.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2024.0015

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑员工疲劳度和休假的退化系统可靠性建模与检测策略研究

林洲, 高志阔, 杨毓敏, 张凤霞, 沈静远   

  1. 南京理工大学 经济管理学院,江苏 南京 210094
  • 收稿日期:2021-10-09 出版日期:2024-01-25 发布日期:2024-03-25
  • 通讯作者: 沈静远(1990-),女,广西桂林人,博士,副教授,研究方向:系统可靠性,维修建模与优化,随机建模。
  • 作者简介:张凤霞(1993-),女,山东潍坊人,博士研究生,研究方向:系统可靠性,维修建模与优化。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71801128);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(30919011283)

Reliability Modeling and Optimal Inspection Policy for Degradation System Considering Employee Fatigue and Vacation

LIN Zhou, GAO Zhikuo, YANG Yumin, ZHANG Fengxia, SHEN Jingyuan   

  1. School of Economics & Management, Nanjing University of Science & Technology, Nanjing 210094, China
  • Received:2021-10-09 Online:2024-01-25 Published:2024-03-25

摘要: 在退化系统检测维修策略的研究中,很少考虑人为因素对检测正确率的影响。事实上,考虑员工疲劳度水平和其工作状态可以更精确地评估和优化维修检测策略,帮助企业降低运维成本。本文考虑维修工的工作状态对检测结果的影响,通过建立疲劳度和检测正确率的函数关系,构建检测维修模型,以最小化维修成本为目标,优化员工工作时间安排、休假时间安排以及检测时间间隔;最后进行算例分析,针对各成本参数做敏感度分析,讨论参数变化时最优休假策略和维修策略的变化规律,从而寻找更广泛的优化适用性。结果表明检测出错成本大的系统,决策者应提高员工休假时间,降低检测频率;预防性维修成本高的系统,决策者应适当提高员工在岗时间并降低检测频率;停机机会成本更高的系统应提高员工在岗时间,同时提高检测频率。

关键词: 可修系统, 疲劳度水平, 检测正确率, 休假策略, 维修策略

Abstract: In practical applications, engineering systems usually degrade as time goes by. Various inspection and maintenance policies have been designed and optimized for the degradation systems to improve their availability and meanwhile reduce the operational costs. However, in most of the existing studies, incorrect inspection results caused by human factors have been less taken into consideration, which may lead to the inaccuracy of the reliability model and then influence the maintenance decision. To address this problem, the fatigue levels of the maintenance workers and their negative influences on inspections are taken into consideration to develop a new maintenance model for degradation systems. Base on the proposed model, the main objective of this paper is to design an optimal inspection and maintenance strategy that minimize the long-run average cost of the system.
More specifically, in this paper we consider a degradation system with three states, which are the good state, defect state and failure state, respectively. Systems in the defect state could still work but with a higher failure rate than those in the good state. When the system enters the failure state, it fails immediately and only a corrective maintenance action could restore it to the state to be as good as a new one. A maintenance worker is arranged to inspect and repair the system periodically during his working time. When the inspection result shows that the system is in the defect state, a preventive maintenance action is executed so as to restore the system to the state to be as good as a new one. Inspection results are assumed to be imperfect in this paper. Two inspection errors are considered: type I errors are that the system is in the good state while the inspection result shows that it is in the defect state, and type II errors are that the system is in the defect state while the inspection result shows that it is in the good state. In the literature, the two types of inspection errors have been investigated by some researchers, but most of them have assumed that the probabilities of the errors are constants. The main contribution of this paper is to model the probabilities of the errors as increasing functions of the working time of the maintenance worker, which implies more inspection errors the worker may make when the continuous working time and the fatigue are accumulated. The fatigue accumulated at work could be mitigated or swept away by vacation. Based on this assumption, a new maintenance model is developed for such systems and a simulation algorithm is proposed to calculate the long-run average cost of the system. The cost includes inspection cost, downtime cost and maintenance cost. After that, an optimization problem is formulated: the main objection is to minimize the long-run average cost by taking the continuous working time W, the vacation time V and the inspection period T as the decision variables.
Based on the proposed model and algorithm, a numerical example for the operation and maintenance of elevators is studied. First, we assume that for the maintenance worker the original working time W=5, the vacation time V=2 and the inspection period T=1, respectively. The optimization results are W*=6, V*=1 and T*=0.4, and the long-run average cost is reduced from 359.3 to 307.6, which shows the efficiency of the proposed model. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis is made for the cost parameters, including the maintenance cost for type I errors, the downtime cost, and so on. Based on the sensitivity analysis, we investigate the influence of changing the cost parameters on the optimization results. The results show that for systems with a high cost of inspection errors, decision makers should increase employee vacation time and reduce the frequency of inspection; for systems with high preventive maintenance costs, decision makers should appropriately increase employee on-duty time and reduce the inspection frequency; systems with high downtime cost are suggested to increase the work period and the frequency of inspections at the same time.
To sum up, in this paper the influences of the fatigue levels of the maintenance workers on the inspection results are taken into consideration. By modelling the relationship between the fatigue and the inspection correctness, the inspection and maintenance optimization model is developed. The main goal is to minimize the long-run average cost of the system by optimizing the work period, vacation period and the inspection interval of the worker. Future studies could pay more attentions to the multi-component systems, in which the dependence among the components may bring new challenges. Besides, in this paper the maintenance actions are assumed to restore the system to the state to be as good as a new one. More maintenance strategies, such as the imperfect maintenance, could be taken into consideration in the future studies.

Key words: repairable system, fatigue level, correct inspection probability, vacation strategy, maintenance strategy

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