基于交互耦合网络的项目组合决策模型研究

doi:10.12005/orms.2017.0085

运筹与管理 ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (4): 76-83.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2017.0085

基于交互耦合网络的项目组合决策模型研究

赵静, 郭鹏, 贾颖颖

西北工业大学管理学院,陕西西安 710072

收稿日期:2015-09-10 出版日期:2017-04-25
作者简介:赵静,女,博士,讲师,研究方向为系统工程,项目组合决策;郭鹏,男,教授博导,研究方向为项目管理,决策理论与方法;贾颖颖,女,博士研究生,研究方向为复杂项目管理。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(71272049&71402142&71672145);高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金(20126102110052);西北工业大学人文社科与管理研究基金(2014RW0008)

The Decision-making Model of the Project Portfolio Basedon Interactive Coupling Network

ZHAO Jing, GUO Peng, JIA Ying-ying

School of Management, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710072, China

Received:2015-09-10 Online:2017-04-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 随着项目活动进入“大尺度”时代,复杂性成为现代化项目组合管理中的突出问题。在项目组合决策系统复杂性分析基础上,提出了交互耦合网络视角下的项目组合决策系统表征方法;借鉴非线性动力学建模方法构建项目组合决策系统复杂动力网络模型,结合模型的稳定解和稳定条件将项目组合决策系统划分为竞争型、共生型、强依存型和弱依存型,并通过数值仿真方法对系统的稳定域、分岔和混沌进行分析。研究表明,项目组合决策系统的复杂性和稳定性依赖于系统内交互关系作用,改善协作关系,避免过分竞争,以系统整体为先优化配置有利于项目组合目标实现。

关键词: 项目组合决策, 交互耦合网络, 复杂动力网络模型

Abstract: As project activities enter into the large scale era, complexity becomes an outstanding problem of the modern project portfolio management. Based on the analysis of the complexity of the project portfolio, an representation method for the project portfolio decision-making system is proposed from the perspective of interactive coupling network. By referring to the nonlinear dynamic model, the complex dynamical network model is constructed for the project portfolio decision-making, and then the stability domain, equilibrium solution, bifurcation and chaos of the model are analyzed and simulated. Researches show that the complexity and stability of the project portfolio decision-making system depend on the interactive relationship, and the realization of the portfolio objective is benefited by improving cooperation, avoiding competition and optimizing allocation based on portfolio entirely.

Key words: project portfolio decision-making, interactive coupling network, complex dynamical network model

中图分类号:

N949

赵静, 郭鹏, 贾颖颖. 基于交互耦合网络的项目组合决策模型研究[J]. 运筹与管理, 2017, 26(4): 76-83.

ZHAO Jing, GUO Peng, JIA Ying-ying. The Decision-making Model of the Project Portfolio Basedon Interactive Coupling Network[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2017, 26(4): 76-83.

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基于交互耦合网络的项目组合决策模型研究

The Decision-making Model of the Project Portfolio Basedon Interactive Coupling Network

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