Evaluation of Emergency Supply Chain Reliability Under Uncertain Information

doi:10.12005/orms.2015.0081

Abstract

Abstract: The paper discusses the reliability of the emergency supply chain. Emergency supply chain is a powerful tool for dealing with emergencies. The evaluation of emergency supply chain reliability has a crucial significance to meet the resource needs of affected people and relief organizations. Based on the conclusion of the historical achievement and implementation experience of emergency supply chain, first, we analyze the elements of emergency supply chain reliability from the protection mechanism, information system, network structure, operation of the process. Second, the evaluating marks of the elements are described as interval, linguistic assessment information, number. Then, we aculeate the evaluation result using triangular fuzzy number, entropy, analytic hierarchy process, and contact number. Last of all, an example is designed and it shows the feasibility and applicability of this model.

Key words: emergency supply chain, evaluation model, analytic hierarchy process, entropy, reliability

摘要： 以应急供应链可靠性为评价对象,在对其影响因素进行分析的基础上,从保障机制、信息系统、网络结构、运作流程、资金保障五个方面构建了评价指标体系,考虑应急供应链可靠性评价信息受主客观因素影响难以精确测定,依据指标特点运用语言评价值,区间值,数值多种形式测定指标值,然后将语言评价值和数值转化为区间值,运用层次分析法、熵值法分别计算一、二级指标权重,再运用联系数对指标值和权重进行集结排序。最后设计算例验证了模型的有效性和适用性。

关键词: 应急供应链, 评价模型, 层次分析法, 熵值, 可靠性

CLC Number:

F272.5

XU Zhen-yu, REN Shi-ke, GUO Xue-song, YUAN Zhi-ping. Evaluation of Emergency Supply Chain Reliability Under Uncertain Information[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2015, 24(3): 35-44.

许振宇, 任世科, 郭雪松, 袁治平. 不确定条件下应急供应链可靠性评价模型[J]. 运筹与管理, 2015, 24(3): 35-44.

References

[1] Sheu J B. Challenges of emergency logistics management[J]. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2007,43(6): 655-659.
[2] Aakil M C, Nie X F, Shaligram pokharel. optimization models in emergency logistics: a literature review[J]. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 2012, 46(1): 4-13.
[3] Balcik B, Beamon B M. Facility location in humanitarian relief[J]. International Journal of Logistics Research and Applications, 2008, 11(2): 101-121.
[4] Sheu J B. An emergency logistics distribution approach for quick response to urgent relief demand in disasters[J]. IEEE Transportation Research E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2007, 43(6): 687-709.
[5] Pettit S, Beresford A. Critical success factors in the context of humanitarian aid supply chains[J]. International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management, 2009, 39(6): 450-468.
[6] Oloruntoba R. An analysis of the cyclone Larry emergency relief chain: some key success factors[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 2010, 126(1): 85-101.
[7] Sohn S Y, Su I C. Fuzzy QFD for supply chain management with reliability consideration[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2001, 72(3): 327-334.
[8] 郭雪松,孙林岩,徐冕.一类基于随机着色 Petri 网的多级供应链可靠性模型研究[J].运筹与管理,2006,15(6):66-67.
[9] 郑哲文.基于可靠技术的应急物流供应链构建[J].中国流通经济,2009,(10):54-56.
[10] 余德建,周德群.基于ANP理论的应急物流保障能力评价[J].物流技术,2008,27(8):89-91.
[11] 邢鑫鑫.基于DEA的模糊综合评价方法在应急物流方案选择中的应用[J].物流科技,2011(3):124-126.
[12] 陈梓杰,徐菱,程园.应急物流供应链可靠性探讨[J].铁道运输与管理,2009,31(9):69-71.
[13] 林远明,卓建仙,杨凯.基于多层次灰色评价方法的应急物流能力评价研究[J].物流科技,2010,(10):57-60.
[14] 邓爱民,张凡,熊剑,吴鹏飞.基于模糊灰色综合评价方法的应急物流能力评价[J].统计与决策,2010,(6):174-176.
[15] 李志伟.基于AHP法与BP神经网络的应急物流风险评估与预测模型[J].物流技术,2008,27(9):75-77.
[16] 周广亮.应急资源配置与调度文献研究综述与思考[J].预测,2011,30(3):76-80.
[17] 王苏生,王岩.基于公平优先原则的多受灾点应急资源配置算法[J].运筹与管理,2008,17(3):16-21.
[18] 许建国,池宏,祁明亮,等.应急资源需求周期性变化的选址与资源配置模型[J].运筹与管理,2008,17(1):11-17.
[19] 方磊.基于偏好DEA 模型的应急资源优化配置[J].系统工程理论与实践,2008,(5):98-104.
[20] 田依林.基于网格化管理的突发事件应急资源管理研究[J].科技管理研究,2010,(8):135-137.
[21] 王竹泉,逄咏梅,孙建强.国内外营运资金管理研究的回顾与展望[J].会计研究,2007(2):85-90.
[22] 刘树海,齐二石.流程管理模式下的营运资金管理研究[J].现代管理科学,2008,(10):91-92.
[23] 宫丽静.营运资金管理绩效影响因素的实证研究——基于供应链的视角[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2008:29-33.
[24] 江其玟,胡幽研.基于供应链理论的营运资金管理模型构建[J].财会月刊,2009,(34):18-20.
[25] 叶飞,李怡娜,张红,雷宣云.供应链信息共享影响因素、信息共享程度与企业运营绩效关系研究[J].管理学报,2009,(6):743-750.
[26] 刘洋,樊治平.具有多种形式信息的指派问题的求解方法[J].系统工程,2008,28(5):73-79.
[27] 刘秀梅,赵克勤.基于联系数复运算的区间数多属性决策方法及应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2008,38(23):57-61.
[28] 尤天慧,张尧,樊治平,刘洋.信息不确定的多指标决策理论与方法[J].北京:科学出版社,2010:59-61.
[29] 刘秀梅,赵克勤,王传斌.基于联系数的三角模糊数多属性决策新模型[J].系统工程与电子技术,2009,3(10):239-240.