Incomplete Preference Complex Large Group Emergency Decision Making Method Based on Trust Degree of Decision Makers & Combination Weighting

doi:10.12005/orms.2019.0099

Operations Research and Management Science ›› 2019, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (5): 17-25.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2019.0099

• Theory Analysis and Methodology Study • Previous Articles Next Articles

Incomplete Preference Complex Large Group Emergency Decision Making Method Based on Trust Degree of Decision Makers & Combination Weighting

CAI Chen-guang¹, XU Xuan-hua², WANG Pei^2,3, XUE Xing-jian¹

1.College of Logistics & Transportation, Central South University of Forestry & Technology, Changsha 410004, China;
2.School of Business, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China;
3.School of Business, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510006, China

Received:2017-06-11 Online:2019-05-25

基于决策者信任水平和组合赋权的不完全偏好复杂大群体应急决策方法

蔡晨光¹,徐选华²,王佩^2,3,薛行健¹

1.中南林业科技大学物流与交通学院,湖南长沙 410004;
2.中南大学商学院,湖南长沙 410083;
3.广东外语外贸大学商学院,广东广州 510006

作者简介:蔡晨光(1987-),男,河北唐山人,讲师,博士,主要研究方向:决策理论与方法,应急管理,交通运输规划与管理,工程项目管理;徐选华(1962-),男,江西临川人,教授,博士,主要研究方向:决策理论与方法,风险管理,大数据管理;王佩(1988-),女,湖南益阳人,讲师,博士,主要研究方向:决策理论与方法,应急决策;薛行健(1980-),男,湖南益阳人,副教授,博士,主要研究方向:交通运输规划与管理,运输经济管理。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(71671189,51408616),湖南省哲学社会科学基金项目(15YBA406),湖南省教育厅科学研究优秀青年项目(14B186),中南林业科技大学引进人才科研启动基金项目(2016YJ011)

Abstract

Abstract: For a complex large group decision-making problem: attribute weights are known completely and expert preference information is incomplete, a new decision approach is proposed. Firstly, a filling mechanism of incomplete values based on trust degree of decision makers is designed, which is used to add the missing preference information. Secondly, the large group preference information for each alternative is clustered, a combination weighting method based on information entropy of alternative and group preference conflict degree is constructed, which is used to calculate attribute weights, and then the comprehensive evaluation value for each alternative is presented. Finally, an example is given to illustrate this method, and the validation results demonstrate the good feasibility and validity of proposed method.

Key words: emergency management, large group decision making, combination weighting approach, incomplete value, trust degree

摘要： 针对属性权重完全未知且专家偏好出现残缺值的复杂大群体应急决策问题,提出了一种新的决策方法。首先,设计了一套基于决策者信任水平的残缺值填充机制,对缺失的偏好信息进行补充。然后,将各方案的大群体偏好信息进行聚类,基于方案信息熵和群体偏好冲突水平构建组合赋权方法,对属性权重进行测算,进而得到各个方案的综合评价值。最后对该方法进行了实例验证,验证结果表明本文提出的方法具有良好的可行性和有效性。

关键词: 应急管理, 大群体决策, 组合赋权法, 残缺值, 信任水平

CLC Number:

C934

CAI Chen-guang, XU Xuan-hua, WANG Pei, XUE Xing-jian. Incomplete Preference Complex Large Group Emergency Decision Making Method Based on Trust Degree of Decision Makers & Combination Weighting[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2019, 28(5): 17-25.

蔡晨光,徐选华,王佩,薛行健. 基于决策者信任水平和组合赋权的不完全偏好复杂大群体应急决策方法[J]. 运筹与管理, 2019, 28(5): 17-25.

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Incomplete Preference Complex Large Group Emergency Decision Making Method Based on Trust Degree of Decision Makers & Combination Weighting

基于决策者信任水平和组合赋权的不完全偏好复杂大群体应急决策方法

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