Research on Optimization Degree Evaluation of Energy Structure Under Low-carbon Economy Paradigm

Operations Research and Management Science ›› 2013, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (6): 168-176.

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Research on Optimization Degree Evaluation of Energy Structure Under Low-carbon Economy Paradigm

FAN De-cheng¹, WANG Shao-hua^1,2, ZHANG Wei³, JIA Li-jiang¹

1. School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China;
2. School of Economics and Management, YanShan University,Qinhuangdao 066004, China;
3. School of Business and Economics, Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao,Qinhuangdao 066004, China

Received:2012-05-31 Online:2013-12-25

低碳经济范式下能源结构优化程度评价研究

范德成¹, 王韶华^1,2, 张伟³, 贾立江¹

1.哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150001;
2.燕山大学经济管理学院,河北秦皇岛 066004;
3.东北大学秦皇岛分校经贸学院,河北秦皇岛 066004

作者简介:范德成(1964-),男,山东平原人,博士,教授,研究方向:管理系统工程;王韶华(1986-),男,河北邢台人,博士研究生,研究方向为管理系统工程;张伟(1983-),女,河北滦南人,讲师,研究方向为产业结构优化;贾立江(1979-),男,河北沧州人,在读博士,讲师,研究方向为低碳经济、资源环境经济与区域经济学。
基金资助:
高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助项目(20122304110018);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(13YJA630016);中央高校基本业务费专项基金资助(HEUCF130907);黑龙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(11A004);黑龙江省(青年)自然科学基金资助项目(QC2011C076)

Abstract

Abstract: The structural contradictions are mainly shown as the energy bottleneck in China. Based on theory of energy economics, this paper puts forward three dimensions which are social and economic benefits, energy planning benefits as well as environment benefits, from the perspective of requirements of low-carbon economy to energy structure. Analyzing elements of the various dimensions,it identifies twelve measurement indexes and the weight of each index by the theory of rough set, combined with AHP,establishing the low-carbon factor. Based on this, it sets the grading standards, and it carries on comprehensive measurement and evaluation of multi-indexes for optimization degree of energy structure by unascertained measure evaluation model for ten provinces. The results show the indexes, including planning of renewable energy,energy efficiency, carbon dioxide and COD, are important to the optimization degree evaluation of energy structure, not the population or the situation of energy supply to demand, and illustrate thet validity of the approach and rationality of the assessment result.

Key words: rough set, unascertained measure, low-carbon economy paradigm, optimization degree of energy structure, evaluate

摘要： 我国的能源瓶颈突出表现为结构性矛盾。本文以能源经济学为理论支撑,从低碳经济发展对能源结构要求的角度,提出了社会经济效益、能源规划效益、环境效益等三个维度,并分析了各个维度的构成要素;综合运用粗糙集理论和AHP法进行指标约简和权值计算,构建了低碳经济范式下能源结构优化程度评价指标体系。在此基础上,对各评价指标设置分级标准,通过未确知测度评价模型对2010年我国10个省份的能源结构优化程度进行多指标综合测度与评价,阐明了该评价方法的科学有效性及评价结果的合理性。

关键词: 粗糙集, 未确知, 低碳经济范式, 能源结构优化程度, 评价

CLC Number:

F416.2

FAN De-cheng, WANG Shao-hua, ZHANG Wei, JIA Li-jiang. Research on Optimization Degree Evaluation of Energy Structure Under Low-carbon Economy Paradigm[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2013, 22(6): 168-176.

范德成, 王韶华, 张伟, 贾立江. 低碳经济范式下能源结构优化程度评价研究[J]. 运筹与管理, 2013, 22(6): 168-176.

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Research on Optimization Degree Evaluation of Energy Structure Under Low-carbon Economy Paradigm

低碳经济范式下能源结构优化程度评价研究

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