Analysis of Empirical Relationship of Energy Consumption andEconomic Growth Based on Non-parameter STRModel in the Period of 1980~2011

doi:10.12005/orms.2016.0216

Operations Research and Management Science ›› 2016, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (6): 162-174.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2016.0216

• Application Research • Previous Articles Next Articles

Analysis of Empirical Relationship of Energy Consumption andEconomic Growth Based on Non-parameter STRModel in the Period of 1980~2011

ZHANG You-zhi¹, DANG Xing-hua²

1.School of Economics Management, Xi’an Shiyou University, Xi’an 710065, China;
2.School of Economics and Management, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710054, China

Received:2013-09-15 Online:2016-12-20

我国的能源消费与经济增长:1980~2011——基于非线性STR模型的实证分析

张优智¹, 党兴华²

1.西安石油大学经济管理学院, 陕西西安 710065;
2.西安理工大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安 710054

作者简介:张优智(1977- ),男,陕西户县人,副教授、博士,研究方向为能源经济;党兴华(1952- ),男,陕西蒲城人,教授、博士生导师,研究方向为技术创新与区域经济。
基金资助:
陕西省教育厅人文社科专项项目(2013JK0106);西安市社科规划基金项目(16J29);西安石油大学博士科研启动项目(2016BS07)

Abstract

Abstract: Based on annual data over the period from 1980 to 2011, this paper applies STR model to analyze the relationship between Chinese energy consumption and economic growth. The empirical results show that the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is nonlinear. The conclusion shows the relationship between energy consumption and coal consumption and petroleum consumption and economic growth is appropriate to utilize LSTR1 model to simulate. Meanwhile, the relationship between and electricity consumption and economic growth is appropriate to utilize LSTR1 model to simulate.

Key words: energy consumption, economic growth, smooth transition regression model

摘要： 能源消费与经济增长之间的长期动态关系是理论界一直研究的热点问题。本文建立了四个非线性平滑转换模型(STR)研究了1980~2011年的能源消费与经济增长之间的动态非线性关系。研究发现:STR模型所产生的拟合数据与原始数据的动态特征基本相同,能源消费与经济增长之间存在长期非线性关系,且两者之间有明显的区间转制动态特征。LSTR1模型能够准确刻画到我国能源消费、煤炭消费、石油消费与经济增长之间的非线性关系;而LSTR2模型能够准确刻画到我国电力消费与经济增长之间的非线性关系。

关键词: 能源消费, 经济增长, STR模型

CLC Number:

F206

ZHANG You-zhi, DANG Xing-hua. Analysis of Empirical Relationship of Energy Consumption andEconomic Growth Based on Non-parameter STRModel in the Period of 1980~2011[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2016, 25(6): 162-174.

张优智, 党兴华. 我国的能源消费与经济增长:1980~2011——基于非线性STR模型的实证分析[J]. 运筹与管理, 2016, 25(6): 162-174.

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Analysis of Empirical Relationship of Energy Consumption andEconomic Growth Based on Non-parameter STRModel in the Period of 1980~2011

我国的能源消费与经济增长:1980~2011——基于非线性STR模型的实证分析

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