Abstract: In terms of complex weapon system reliability optimization allocation, with the maximum reliability of the system as the objective function and taking overall consideration of the restricting conditions of the expenses and qualities of the system, the optimization allocation module of weapon system reliability was established; and a numerical solving algorithm based on marginal effect analysis method was put forward, which could maximize the total reliability of the system by improving the reliabilities of each sub-system. Reliability optimization allocation of air defense weapon system was also exemplified in this essay.

Key words: reliability, optimization, marginal effect analysis

摘要： 针对复杂武器系统可靠性冗余分配优化问题,以系统的可靠度最大为目标函数,综合考虑系统的费用、质量等约束条件,建立了武器系统的可靠性冗余分配最优化模型;提出了基于相对增量的边际效应分析方法的求解算法,通过改进各级子系统的可靠性,从而使总的系统可靠性最大,最后对防空武器系统的可靠性冗余分配优化问题进行了实例分析。

关键词: 可靠性, 优化, 边际效应分析