运筹与管理 ›› 2018, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (10): 63-69.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2018.0231

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于云模型和VIKOR扩展方法的电网企业科技发展区间值多属性群决策

李存斌, 张磊, 马原   

  1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京 102206
  • 收稿日期:2016-07-14 出版日期:2018-10-25
  • 通讯作者: 马原,男,山东潍坊,硕士研究生,研究方向为管理科学与工程、电力工程多目标优化与决策。
  • 作者简介:李存斌,男,北京,教授,博士生导师,研究方向为信息管理与决策、电力运营与管理决策、智能电网运营科技与风险管理等;张磊,男,北京,工程师,华北电力大学在职博士研究生,研究方向为管理科学与工程、电力科技管理与优化决策。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(71671065);国家电网公司总部科技项目(52182017000W)

Multi-attribute Group Decision Making with Interval Value Basedon Cloud Model and Extension of VIKOR Method for Power GridEnterprise’s Scientific and Technological Development

LI Cun-bin, ZHANG Lei, MA Yuan   

  1. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
  • Received:2016-07-14 Online:2018-10-25

摘要: 国家电网公司确立了“一强三优”的战略目标,以公司总体发展战略为基石,集中力量开展科技发展和评估技术的相关研究。因此,对公司科技发展战略进行分析和评估是极其具有现实意义和理论意义的。本文提出了一种基于云模型和VIKOR扩展方法的群决策方法。将语言决策值综合为正态云模型,进而转化为区间值。通过VIKOR扩展方法构建可能度矩阵进行综合群决策。研究表明,针对准则值为语言值或区间值的多属性群决策,该方法可以更加客观有效。

关键词: 电网企业, 科技发展, 多属性群决策, 区间值, 云模型, VIKOR扩展方法

Abstract: State Grid Corporation establishes a strategic goal of “a strong three excellent”, puts the company’s overall development strategy as the cornerstone and is concentrated on researching technology development and evaluation technology. Therefore, it is of both practical and theoretical significance to make full analysis of the company's technology development strategy. A new decision making method based on the cloud model and the VIKOR expansion method is proposed. The method integrates the fuzzy language value into normal cloud model and then the risk is fully evaluated through transforming the cloud rules into interval value. The possibility degree matrix is constructed by the VIKOR extension method to make the decision. The research shows that the method can be more objective and effective for the multi attribute group decision making.

Key words: power grid enterprise, scientific development, multi attribute group decision making, interval value, cloud model, extension of VIKOR method

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