运筹与管理 ›› 2019, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (4): 26-32.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2019.0076

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于群体共识的农村土地流转优化决策方法

黄海棠1,吴坚2,滕剑仑3,蔡创能1   

  1. 1.三明学院 经济与管理学院,福建 三明 365004;
    2.上海海事大学 经济管理学院,上海 201306;
    3.广西财经学院 会计与审计学院,广西 南宁 530003
  • 收稿日期:2018-06-27 出版日期:2019-04-25
  • 通讯作者: 吴坚(1977-),江苏无锡人,男,博士生导师,教授,博士,研究方向:社会网络分析,群决策,多属性决策和综合评价方法等。
  • 作者简介:黄海棠(1979-),女,福建龙岩人,副教授,硕士,研究方向:农村经济与管理、博弈论
  • 基金资助:
    福建省社会科学规划项目(FJ2017B110,FJ2018C034);福建省科技厅软科学项目(2017R0095,2019R0089);三明学院科学研究发展基金暨福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JT180516,B201827);工商管理应用型学科《福建省高等学校应用型学科建设》(闽教高[2017]44号)

Optimizing Decision Method of Rural Land Circulation Based on Group Consensus

HUANG Hai-tang1, WU Jian2, TENG Jian-lun3, CAI Chuang-neng1   

  1. 1.School of Economics and Management, Sanming University, Sanming 365004, China;
    2.School of Economics and Management, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China;
    3.School of Accounting and Auditing, Guangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanning 530003, China
  • Received:2018-06-27 Online:2019-04-25

摘要: 农村土地流转涉及到政府部门的心理预期和承包企业的利益参照点。如果两者不能达成共识,很难达到农村土地流转帕累托改善。本文主要研究这两方流转主体在群体演化博弈中累积的共识达成过程,及其对现有土地效率的优化机制作用规律。在考虑双方异质性累积前景预期值的基础上,利用模拟仿真研究政府和企业之间的博弈演化过程,发现在双方心理预期均获得满足的条件下,群体能够达成共识,农村土地流转效率最高。

关键词: 群决策, 共识, 流转决策

Abstract: Rural land circulation involves the psychological expectations of government departments and the interest reference points of contracting enterprises. If the two do not reach a consensus, it is difficult to achieve the rural land circulation Pareto improvement. This paper mainly studies the process of reaching consensus between these two sides of the circulation in the group evolution game and the mechanism of optimizing the existing land efficiency. On the basis of considering the expectation value of heterogeneous accumulation prospects of both sides, simulation is used to study the game evolution process between the government and enterprises, and it is found that under the condition that both parties’ psychological expectations are satisfied, the group can reach a consensus and the rural land transfer efficiency is the highest.

Key words: group decision-making, consensus, conversion decision

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