运筹与管理 ›› 2023, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (7): 30-36.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2023.0213

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑损失规避和随机需求的闭环供应链零售商融资决策

丁黎黎, 卢梦桐, 王垒   

  1. 中国海洋大学 经济学院,山东 青岛 266100
  • 收稿日期:2021-06-04 出版日期:2023-07-25 发布日期:2023-08-24
  • 通讯作者: 王垒(1986-),男,山东淄博人,副教授,博士生导师,博士,研究方向:供应链金融与公司金融。
  • 作者简介:丁黎黎(1978-),女,山东五莲人,教授,博士生导师,博士,研究方向:供应链金融;卢梦桐(1998-),女,黑龙江鹤岗人,博士研究生,研究方向:供应链金融。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71973132);泰山学者特聘专家项目(tstp20221111)

Financing Strategy of Closed-loop Supply Chain Retailers under Loss Aversion and Demand Uncertainty

DING Lili, LU Mengtong, WANG Lei   

  1. School of Economics, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China
  • Received:2021-06-04 Online:2023-07-25 Published:2023-08-24

摘要: 本文以一个具有损失规避行为的零售商、一个完全理性的制造商和一个完全理性的回收商所构成的三级闭环供应链为研究对象,针对零售商资金受限及市场需求不确定问题,考虑外源银行贷款和内源制造商投资两种融资模式构建Stackelberg博弈模型。基于该模型,深入探讨具有损失规避行为零售商的最优融资决策及损失规避行为对闭环供应链的最优运营决策的影响。研究发现:融资成本对回收商和零售商的运营决策影响相同,与对制造商批发价的影响相反;只有当融资成本处于一定阈值范围内,才会实现零售商和制造商的帕累托改进,且零售商的损失规避程度越高,所能接受的贷款利率区间越大,分红比例区间越小;当且仅当协商的分红比例为0.05且贷款利率相对较小时,损失规避型零售商才会和制造商达成股权融资共识,提升闭环供应链的运营效率。

关键词: 闭环供应链, 股权融资, 损失规避, 需求不确定

Abstract: With resource scarcity and environmental degradation, how to balance economic and environmental benefit has become an important issue. The smooth operation of closed loop supply chains (CLSC) can solve these problems. However, the problem of retailer’s capital constraint in the CLSC always exits. The retailer can obtain capital support through external bank loans and internal equity financing. There are some literatures which have studied the operation decisions of CLSC, financing strategies in supply chain, and the impact of risk attitude on supply chain decisions. But the research on incorporating capital constraints and participants’ loss aversion into the CLSC is still relatively scarce. In addition, bank credit and trade credit are still considered as main financing modes in relative study, while the supply chain internal equity financing used commonly in reality is ignored. Based on this, this paper studies the green operation decisions of each participant under the external bank loans and internal manufacturer investment. Furthermore, this paper considers the impact of capital demanders’ loss aversion preference on financing mode selection. Thus, a three-level CLSC Stackelberg game model is established including a rational manufacturer, a capital constrained loss-averse retailer and a rational recycler.
In this model, we assume that the manufacturer is the highest leader, the recycler is the secondary leader, and the retailer is the follower. The model can be divided two stages. The first stage is the production and sales stage, where the retailer chooses the order quantity based on the wholesale price determined by the manufacturer. And then, facing the uncertain market demand the retailer will get sale profits. We assume that market demand follows a uniform distribution. In order to simplify the analysis, the unit retail price is standardized to 1. In this process, there is a capital gap for retailers, which can be resolved through two channels: Bank loans or accepting investment from manufacturers. At the end of this stage, the retailer needs to pay for the cost of financing. The second stage is the recycling and remanufacturing stage. The recycler recovers used products from consumers or retailers and then sells them to manufacturers for reproduction. The manufacturer can produce new products and remanufacture products which have the same qualities, and the production of remanufactured products can save costs. And the recycler must establish recycling networks and channels before carrying out recycling activities, and the cost is a quadratic function. The loss aversion utility function is used to describe the characteristics of loss aversion of retailers. Based on this model, the reverse induction method is used to obtain the optimal decisions of each party under different financing modes. Then, numerical simulation is used to obtain the impact of loss aversion behavior on financing and operational decisions.
The results show that financing costs have the same impact on the operating decisions of recyclers and retailers, but the opposite impact on manufacturers’ wholesale prices. Moreover, only the financing cost across a value threshold can help the retailer and investors realize their Pareto improvement. And the higher the loss aversion of the retailer, the larger the range of acceptable loan interest rates and the smaller the range of dividend ratios. When the negotiated dividend ratio is 0.05 and the loan interest rate is relatively small, the retailer prefers investment. In reality,recyclers may also face capital constraints and other parties may have different risk preferences. Thus, analyzing the impact of these factors on capital constrained CLSC is also worth in-depth research.

Key words: closed loop supply chain, equity financing, loss aversion, uncertain demand

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