A Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation MethodEmbodying Development Tendency

doi:10.12005/orms.2016.0217

Operations Research and Management Science ›› 2016, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (6): 175-180.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2016.0217

• Application Research • Previous Articles Next Articles

A Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation MethodEmbodying Development Tendency

YI Ping-tao, ZHOU Yi, GUO Ya-jun, LI Wei-wei

School of Business Administration,Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China

Received:2014-08-01 Online:2016-12-20

一种体现发展趋势的动态综合评价方法

易平涛, 周义, 郭亚军, 李伟伟

东北大学工商管理学院,辽宁沈阳 110004

作者简介:易平涛(1981-),男,湖南永州人,副教授,硕士生导师,主要研究方向:综合评价理论与方法;周义(1990-),男,河北邢台人,硕士研究生;郭亚军(1952-),男,辽宁开原人,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向:综合评价理论与方法;李伟伟(1986-),女,山东烟台人,博士后。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71071030,71071031);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(N130406004) 作者简介:易平涛(1981-),男,湖南永州人,副教授,硕士生导师,主要研究方向:综合评价理论与方法;周义(1990-),男,河北邢台人,硕士研究生;郭亚军(1952-),男,辽宁开原人,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向:综合评价理论与方法;李伟伟(1986-),女,山东烟台人,博士后。一种体现发展趋势的动态综合评价方法易平涛, 周义, 郭亚军, 李伟伟(东北大学工商管理学院,辽宁沈阳 110004)摘要:针对动态综合评价中没有考虑被评价对象指标的发展趋势的问题,综合考虑评价指标的发展趋势、指标权重和时间权重的影响,构建了一种体现发展趋势的动态综合评价模型。定义了发展因子,用于表示被评价对象指标的发展趋势,在纵横向拉开档次法的基础上采用离差平方和最小化的方法确定指标权重,并建立了一种体现“厚今薄古”思想的时间函数来确定时间权重。最后,将该动态综合评价模型应用于中国西部地区宏观经济发展评价问题中。

Abstract

Abstract: Aiming to consider the development trend of the evaluation index in dynamic comprehensive evaluation,the paper constructs a dynamic comprehensive evaluation model of development tendency considering the influences of the evaluation index development tendency, index weights and time weights. The development factor is defined to denote the development trend of the evaluation index. On the basis of scatter degree,the attribute weights are obtained via the method to the minimize the sum of squares of deviations. Additionally, the time weights are determined by the model of time function which implies laying more stress on the present information than on the past. Finally,the model is applied to evaluate the degree of the macro economic development of western China.

Key words: dynamic comprehensive evaluation, development factor, scatter degree, programming model, time weight

摘要： 针对动态综合评价中没有考虑被评价对象指标的发展趋势的问题,综合考虑评价指标的发展趋势、指标权重和时间权重的影响,构建了一种体现发展趋势的动态综合评价模型。定义了发展因子,用于表示被评价对象指标的发展趋势,在纵横向拉开档次法的基础上采用离差平方和最小化的方法确定指标权重,并建立了一种体现“厚今薄古”思想的时间函数来确定时间权重。最后,将该动态综合评价模型应用于中国西部地区宏观经济发展评价问题中。

关键词: 动态综合评价, 发展因子, 纵横向拉开档次, 规划模型, 时间权重

CLC Number:

C934

YI Ping-tao, ZHOU Yi, GUO Ya-jun, LI Wei-wei. A Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation MethodEmbodying Development Tendency[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2016, 25(6): 175-180.

易平涛, 周义, 郭亚军, 李伟伟. 一种体现发展趋势的动态综合评价方法[J]. 运筹与管理, 2016, 25(6): 175-180.

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A Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation MethodEmbodying Development Tendency

一种体现发展趋势的动态综合评价方法

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