运筹与管理 ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (12): 1-8.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2017.0279

• 理论分析与方法探讨 •    下一篇

PPP项目中政府补偿与社会资本投资运营决策研究

曹启龙1,2, 周晶2, 盛昭瀚2   

  1. 1.常州大学 商学院,江苏 常州 213164;
    2.南京大学 工程管理学院,江苏 南京 210093
  • 收稿日期:2015-07-27 出版日期:2017-12-25
  • 作者简介:曹启龙(1986-) 男,江苏徐州人,讲师;博士,研究方向:实物期权与投资决策;周晶,女,教授,博士生导师;盛昭瀚,男,教授,博士生导师。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金重大项目《重大基础设施工程决策分析与决策管理研究》(71390521)

Impacts of Government Subsidies on Investment and Operation Decisions in Public-private Partnerships

CAO Qi-longa1,2, ZHOU Jing2, SHENG Zhao-han2   

  1. 1.Business School, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213164, China;
    2.School of Management and Engineering, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China
  • Received:2015-07-27 Online:2017-12-25

摘要: 从社会资本的视角出发研究了政府部门补偿额度的大小对PPP项目中社会资本投资决策和运营决策的影响,通过将政府部门的补偿分为不同的等级,并结合实物期权理论建立模型求解出了不同等级下社会资本投资的临界值和退出的临界值。算例分析表明在考虑政府补偿的情形下,项目经营阶段社会资本退出的临界值远低于其经营成本,项目投资阶段社会资本投资的临界值严格大于其退出的临界值,并且随着政府补偿额度的增加,投资和退出的临界值严格递减。

关键词: 公私合营, 政府补偿, 实物期权, 投资运营

Abstract: This paper analyzes the impact of government subsidies on the investor’s investment and operation decisions in public-private partnership projects from the view of the private investor. By dividing the government subsidies into three classes and by employing the real option theory to build models, the investment threshold and exit threshold are obtained. The case study demonstrates that the exit threshold is lower than the project’s cost under operation period and the investment threshold is higher than the exit threshold under investment threshold when subsidies are taken into account. Moreover, as government subsidies increase, so the threshold of investment and exit would decrease strictly.

Key words: public-private partnership, government subsidy, real options, investment and operation

中图分类号: