运筹与管理 ›› 2021, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (9): 9-16.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2021.0273

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

机动车碳税政策下政府、企业与出行者的三方演化博弈模型研究

许杰, 陈富坚, 刘国平   

  1. 桂林电子科技大学 建筑与交通工程学院,广西 桂林 541004
  • 收稿日期:2019-06-06 出版日期:2021-09-25
  • 作者简介:许杰(1995-),男,浙江金华人,硕士,研究方向:交通运输经济;陈富坚(1974-),男,广西桂林人,教授,博士,研究方向:交通运输经济;刘国平(1995-),男,安徽宣城人,硕士,研究方向:交通运输经济。

Research on the Tripartite Evolutionary Game Model of Government, Enterprises and Travelers under the Carbon Tax Policy for Motor Vehicle

XU jie, CHEN fu-jian, LIU guo-ping   

  1. School of Architecture&Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Guilin 541004, China
  • Received:2019-06-06 Online:2021-09-25

摘要: 为促进机动车碳减排,缓解因尾气排放带来的大气污染,本文采用演化博弈理论探究机动车碳税政策下的决策行为。建立政府管理部门、汽车企业和出行者三方利益主体的演化博弈模型,并对模型的演化路径及演化规律进行理论与数值仿真。研究发现:降低机动车碳排放演化是政府、汽车企业和出行者三者博弈互动的结果;政府主动实施机动车碳税政策,能够促进另外两者选择低碳的策略;提高机动车碳税税额与对低碳行为的补贴,加快了汽车企业与出行者朝各自低碳策略演化的速度。

关键词: 机动车碳税, 碳排放, 三方博弈, 演化博弈, 决策行为分析

Abstract: In order to promote carbon emission reduction of motor vehicles and alleviate air pollution caused by exhaust emissions, this paper uses the evolutionary games theory to explore the decision-making behavior under the vehicle carbon tax policy,builds an evolutionary game model among the three stakeholders of government administrative departments, automobile enterprises and travelers, and makes a theoretical and numerical simulation of the evolutionary path and evolution law of the model. The results show that the evolution of reducing carbon emissions of vehicles is the result of the interactive game among the government, automobile enterprises and travelers; and the government's initiative to implement the vehicle carbon tax policy can promote the other two to choose low-carbon strategies; The increase in vehicle carbon tax and subsidies for the low-carbon activities have accelerated the evolution of automobile enterprises and travelers towards their respective low-carbon strategies.

Key words: the carbon tax for motor vehicle, carbon emission, tripartite game, evolutionary game, behavior analysis of decision

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